HAMMER AND
HANGING-MAN LINES
Exhibit 4.4 shows candlesticks
with long lower shadows and small real bodies. The real bodies are near the top
of the daily range. The variety of candlestick lines shown in the exhibit are
fascinating in that either line can be bullish or bearish depending on where
they appear in a trend. If either of these lines emerges during a downtrend it
is a signal that the downtrend should end. In such a scenario, this line is
labeled a hammer, as in "the market is hammering out" a base. See
Exhibit 4.5. Interestingly, the actual Japanese word for this line is takuri. This
word means something to the affect of "trying to gauge the depth of the
water by feeling for its bottom."
If either of
the lines in Exhibit 4.4 emerge after a rally it tells you that the prior move
may be ending. Such a line is ominously called a hanging man (see Exhibit 4.6).
The name hanging man is derived from the fact that it looks like a hanging man
with dangling legs.
It may seem
unusual that the same candlestick line can be both bullish and bearish. Yet, for
those familiar with Western island tops and island bottoms you will recognize
that the identical idea applies here. The island formation is either bullish or
bearish depending on where it is in a trend. An island after a prolonged
uptrend is bearish, while the same island pattern after a downtrend is bullish.
The hammer and
hanging man can be recognized by three criteria:
1. The real body is at the upper
end of the trading range. The color of the real body is not important.
2. A long lower shadow should be
twice the height of the real body.
3. It should have no, or a very
short, upper shadow.
The longer the lower shadow, the
shorter the upper shadow and the' smaller the real body the more meaningful the
bullish hammer or bearish hanging man. Although the real body of the hammer or
hanging man can be white or black, it is slightly more bullish if the real body
of the hammer is white, and slightly more bearish if the real body of the hanging
man is black. If a hammer has a white real body it means the market sold off
sharply during the session and then bounced back to close at, or near, the
session's high. This could have bullish ramifications. If a hanging man has a
black real body, it shows that the close could not get back to the opening
price level. This could have potentially bearish implications. (contd.)
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